^ This. And you'll find you don't even have to travel very far towards infinity.
Originally Posted by Eldarian_Grace
Many don't realize exactly how common these "unlikely" scenarios really are because they seem so unlikely on the surface. Anyone familiar with stats would probably recall the Birthday problem, giving a group of 23 random people a 50% chance that two will have their birthdays on the same day of the year (insert Despicable Me minion "Whaaaaa?" here); a seemingly incredulous claim on the surface... sometimes you just gotta love math.
Perhaps more obviously relevant to this conversation... random chance that's sampled can be equally misleading/misunderstood as imperfect when the sample shows a skew. Many observe a binomial distribution (or at least the start of one) in the sample and cry foul on the RNG when in fact the odds are a binomial distribution is exactly what you're going to get (and yes, they can and will be discouraging for some subset of the population, that subset being larger and larger the lower the drop rate is).
Couple that with things like observer's bias, hyperbole, games of telephone, and the "vocality of the negatively reinforced" it's going to look pretty ugly on a place like the forums for relatively low drop rate items, even in spite of a perfectly functional RNG.
Still, if you find yourself compelled to compile some drop-rate statistics (and honestly, for your own good, I hope you aren't), be sure to read up on how to properly conduct the experiment, gather the data, understand the sample population, and draw reasonable conclusions. It can be interesting stuff, and along the way you'll probably discover that, unless you have access to mountains of properly drawn data, you're unable to come anywhere close to concluding the RNG is biased in any meaningful way.
I'd guess the folks at Turbine who know the RNG and loot tables best find these kinds of threads somewhat funny and/or an interesting psychological and social perspective because, for better or for worse, in the end that's all threads like these turn out to be. If even only a handful of people take a couple minutes to read up on the Birthday problem referenced above I'd be happy this particular thread will have been at least a little worthwhile to some.
[CENTER]Resistance - Brandywine[/CENTER]