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  1. #1
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    When do you think Helm's Deep will be released?

    Title says it all. Post below and vote on when you think the HD expansion will be released. I'll compile the stats and log in this post.


    Votes
    ---------------
    0 - before Nov 18
    13 - Nov 18
    1 - Jan 7
    1 - Feb 28
    ---------------

    Mean Expectation for Release Date = November 28, 2013
    Geändert von bastiat1 (27.09.2013 um 12:19 Uhr)

  2. #2
    Sapience ist offline Former Community Manager & Harbinger of Soon
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    You do know we announced November 18th as the release date, right?

  3. #3
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    Zitat Zitat von Sapience Beitrag anzeigen
    You do know we announced November 18th as the release date, right?
    To be fair, Turbine announced September 5, 2012 as the release date for Riders of Rohan.

    Perhaps the original poster is trying to gauge whether players expect a similar delay for Helm's Deep.

  4. #4
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    Zitat Zitat von bastiat1 Beitrag anzeigen
    Title says it all. Post below and vote on when you think the HD expansion will be released. I'll compile the stats and log in this post.
    Can I just for the sake of it say never and still get it on your poll? Otherwise I'm gonna say the 18th november...but I'd much rather be noted for saying never.

  5. #5
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    When will it be released? Nov. 18th 2013

    When should it be released? Early 2014

  6. #6
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    I know the scheduled date is November 18th and I suspect 0% will vote for a date before the 18th, 80% will vote for the 18th, and some yahoos will vote a date after; but given that I miss about 90% of my personal deadlines, and most software companies miss at least 50% I'm still curious what the weighted-average expectation is. I guess I just like computing expectations.

  7. #7
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    I'm pretty sure turbine will meet their commitments. They learned last year not to be wrong about this type of thing.

    I have faith in turbine, even if they tend to irritate me sometimes. xD

  8. #8
    Zitat Zitat von Joebob7 Beitrag anzeigen
    I'm pretty sure turbine will meet their commitments. They learned last year not to be wrong about this type of thing.

    I have faith in turbine, even if they tend to irritate me sometimes. xD
    History leaves me little faith in these matters.
    Helm's Deep Devamp killed my long time toons. Currently bouncing around between post-HD newbie alts (a warden and champ) and other games.
    Baruk Khazâd! Khazâd ai-mênu!
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  9. #9
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    Zitat Zitat von Fredelas Beitrag anzeigen
    To be fair, Turbine announced September 5, 2012 as the release date for Riders of Rohan.

    Perhaps the original poster is trying to gauge whether players expect a similar delay for Helm's Deep.
    To be equally fair, that is the only Xpac Turbine has delayed, and we were told well over a month in Advance that would be the case.

  10. #10
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    Turbine has generally kept to its proposed release dates, with the exception of Riders of Rohan. All of the previous expansions launched on schedule. Certain features might have been held back, like the instances for Rise of Isengard, but the main expansion went ahead as planned. I think Turbine has factored in the delay of RoR into its plans for HD, not only announcing a later than usual release date (late November, compared to the September release we've had for the last few years), but waiting until much closer to the date to make the announcement, ensuring it can be fairly certain of launching the product on time. So, 18 November it is.

    The question is: will we still get an additional update in December? We are supposed to get a housing update before the end of the year. Turbine is likely already working on this, or some aspects of it, but it would have only a month to polish it for a December release - especially considering it would need to release it before ~20 December to allow time for a hotfix if anything major breaks. Of course, the update may focus entirely on housing, with no other features, and therefore could also release on target.

    -Bel
    Belnavar - Captain - 105 - Brandywine - Leader of Keepers of the Palantiri

  11. #11
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    It will be released when Turbine considers it ready to be released. Turbine has announced the 18th of November to be the release date. Unless this statement is followed up by a new, different statement, that is what the release date will be.

    Now for speculation. Yohoo bringeth thy Tinfoil Hattery!

    The closer we get to the 18th of November, the less likely it becomes that the release will be rescheduled. Much of this of course depends on the results of the Beta. As with any Beta time will have been reserved for finetuning and bugfixing. This time can be insufficient if 1) too much has to be tuned/fixed 2) fixing runs into unsuspected hard to fix issues. Both of these are however more likely to happen in an Alpha than in a Beta. Still, the manure could hit the ventilator - trying to avoid 'fan' in this metaphore. And how the Beta fares? We can only speculate.

    Let's then speculate by 'what we are not hearing' - this is BTW where that tinfoil hat helps you by keeping you from hearing most of anything. We are not hearing Sapience announce a reschedule of the release. Speculation: Beta runs within Turbine's planned perimeters and 18th of November is indeed set.

  12. #12
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    Well since the Big Battles seemed to be in the making much longer than stuff back in ROR and they seemed alot more open about there being no conventional instance cluster.
    I'd say 18th is spot on.
    The only thing i could see it being pushed back for is a complete fubar of the new trait trees but doubt it.
    Nothing here matters.

  13. #13
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    There is such a small chance for a Helms Deep release date prior to Nov 18 that we should be able to conclude it is zero!

    However, there is a better chance for Turbine to miss their target date due to the unforeseeables of today!

    Having said that, I suspect that Turbine's parent company is not going to give them much fudge room in the event of a miss.

    The Hobbit, Desolation of Smaug releases in the US on Dec. 13, 2013 making Helm's Deep release critical before that date.

    I vote Nov. 18 but with Dec. 2 as a high probability release date candidate should their be a delay...
    Welden of Elendilmir

  14. #14
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    Zitat Zitat von Sapience Beitrag anzeigen
    You do know we announced November 18th as the release date, right?
    LOL, so Sapience is suggesting it actually won't be Nov. 18th, given the recent commitments Turbine has broken I'm guessing?

    However I disagree, I believe they need to hit Nov. 18th., or lose significant sales.

    I don't believe 11/18 was picked because the expansion will be ready (it won't), I believe it was picked because if they release any later, folks will have spent their discretionary budgets on other holiday purchases/x-mas shopping and won't afford a more expensive luxury item for themselves.

    So they picked the last day feasible before Black Friday and staff having Thanksgiving off.

    Whomever mentioned making adjustments per beta feedback, in the past, game breaking things found during beta were not resolved then, and in some cases not even acknowledged, until well after release. My perception is Turbine doesn't use beta to test anything, but simply showcase/promote new content. The true beta test is between when things go live and the first patch. If you've participated in prior betas, you can see this in the beta notes, where changes are usually tweaks to newly implemented things, rather than results of user feedback, and in the forum posts after release, when the general populace complains about the same issues that users reported during the beta. You find hopeful beta testers demoralized by the process, as it appears the time they invest in reporting things doesn't get acted on, which carries over in the forums and in game when you suggest people /bug something they discover but their reaction is, "why bother?", based on prior experience.
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  15. #15
    Sapience ist offline Former Community Manager & Harbinger of Soon
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    Zitat Zitat von RJFerret Beitrag anzeigen
    LOL, so Sapience is suggesting it actually won't be Nov. 18th, given the recent commitments Turbine has broken I'm guessing?
    No idea where you got that from. I'm suggesting no such thing. I was simply pointing out that we did announce a release date. There seem to be a good many people who somehow managed to miss it (based on my PMs asking when we'd announce a release date).
    Geändert von Sapience (24.09.2013 um 11:40 Uhr)

  16. #16
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    Zitat Zitat von RJFerret Beitrag anzeigen
    LOL, so Sapience is suggesting it actually won't be Nov. 18th, given the recent commitments Turbine has broken I'm guessing?
    Don't know how you got that from what he said.
    It's not Teal... it's [SIZE=3][COLOR=#00ffff][B]CYAN[/B][/COLOR][/SIZE]!

  17. #17
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    I think it will be when they have already announced. If they push it back to improve the quality, that is a massive bonus in my book. The only way the players lose in this scenario is if the game comes out buggy. We still have large amounts of content to enjoy while they squash bugs.

  18. #18
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    Zitat Zitat von Sapience Beitrag anzeigen
    No idea where you got that from. I'm suggesting no such thing. I was simply pointing out that we did announce a release date. There seem to be a good many people who somehow managed to miss it (based on my PMs asking when we'd announce a release date).
    Zitat Zitat von Eartholloth Beitrag anzeigen
    Don't know how you got that from what he said.
    Is this the appropriate venue to derail the topic into things Turbine has announced/said that have subsequently been reneged upon, not met, or otherwise dropped? There are plenty of other threads covering those, and it's not in my interest, nor, in my opinion, the health of the communities', to focus on such.

    As I said, timing of market forces causes me to believe they will have to release then, regardless of status/announcements.
    Link to our community LOTRO store google spreadsheet pricelist and conversion rates, please contribute too!: https://goo.gl/wxPqCm

  19. #19
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    Zitat Zitat von RJFerret Beitrag anzeigen
    Is this the appropriate venue to derail the topic into things Turbine has announced/said that have subsequently been reneged upon, not met, or otherwise dropped? There are plenty of other threads covering those, and it's not in my interest, nor, in my opinion, the health of the communities', to focus on such.

    As I said, timing of market forces causes me to believe they will have to release then, regardless of status/announcements.
    ROFL.... weird... just weird...
    It's not Teal... it's [SIZE=3][COLOR=#00ffff][B]CYAN[/B][/COLOR][/SIZE]!

  20. #20
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    ½

    Zitat Zitat von bastiat1 Beitrag anzeigen
    I know the scheduled date is November 18th and I suspect 0% will vote for a date before the 18th, 80% will vote for the 18th, and some yahoos will vote a date after; but given that I miss about 90% of my personal deadlines, and most software companies miss at least 50% I'm still curious what the weighted-average expectation is. I guess I just like computing expectations.
    Just a thought, since you seem to like dem polls. How about making one for whether we think they should've postponed the release date, due to all the bugs and stuff? Sorta along the lines of: 'The official LotrO poll for if the community generally seem to think release dates met > finished products with no bugs in 'em?'

  21. #21
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    I say early Januari.

  22. #22
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    Nov. 18th is plenty of time for them to fix whatever bugs it may have, and therefore, I think, won't be delayed. RoR was delayed since the release date was so soon and they needed to fix some things, but with the late announcement of the release date, I think Turbine learned not to just set a date without planning, and that's why they've only just announced it, since they know it'll be in a good state upon release.

  23. #23
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    Zitat Zitat von BirdofHermes Beitrag anzeigen
    I say early Januari.



    From what i can tell this is probably an early date. I was thinking feb or march of 2014.

    then the bugs will get fixed in april or may if at all.

  24. #24
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    I hope it is the 18th as this will be a nice Birthday Present to experience the content...if I can reach current level-cap by then.

  25. #25
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    I was thinking... whenever the heck it does. Best date then anyone has mentioned.

 

 
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